What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 05 Jun 2015 → 10 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 06 Sep 2012 → 24 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 02 Nov 1992 → 30 Apr 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 25 Feb 1996 → 16 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 23 Dec 2018 → 05 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 07 Jun 2008 → 06 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 23 Oct 2022 → 10 Jan 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 02 Oct 1988 → 06 Jan 1989 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 17 Oct 2023 → 29 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 10 Oct 2019 → 05 Dec 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 221 | 58 | 26.2% | 0 | 9 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 138 | 26 | 18.8% | 1 | 8 |
| Gulf Cup | 120 | 34 | 28.3% | 0 | 5 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 2 | 7 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 0 | 4 |
| Arab Cup | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 1 | 5 |
| Asian Games | 15 | 7 | 46.7% | 0 | 5 |
| King's Cup | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 1 | 3 |
| Gold Cup | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 2 | 4 |
| WAFF Championship | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 3 |
| Palestine Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Copa América | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| International Friendship Championship | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2025 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 2024 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 5 |
| 2023 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 3 |
| 2022 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2021 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 6 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 21 | 2 | 9.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2017 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2016 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 11 |
| 2015 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 9 |
| 2014 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 5 |
| 2013 | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2012 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2010 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 4 |
| 2009 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2008 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2007 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2006 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 8 |
| 2003 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% | 3 |
| 2002 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 7 |
| 2001 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2000 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 1998 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 1997 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1996 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 14 |
| 1994 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 1993 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 1992 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1990 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% | 2 |
| 1988 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 8 |
| 1986 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1984 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1981 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1978 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1977 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1976 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1975 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1974 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
Over 175 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Qatar drew 33 where the draw model expected 38.4 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 42.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 5 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.