What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 22 May 2014 → 28 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 14 Dec 2022 → 19 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 12 Dec 2012 → 09 Nov 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 18 Jul 1972 → 29 Oct 1972 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 03 Jun 2026 → 26 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 12 Nov 2006 → 14 Jan 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 02 Sep 1996 → 26 Sep 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 04 Dec 1995 → 04 Feb 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 08 Dec 2021 → 29 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 02 Dec 2018 → 16 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 73 | 12 | 16.4% | 1 | 6 |
| AFF Championship | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 4 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 4 | 5 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 3 | 5 |
| Southeast Asian Games | 32 | 3 | 9.4% | 4 | 4 |
| Far Eastern Championship Games | 21 | 1 | 4.8% | 3 | 3 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 0 | 4 |
| AFF Championship qualification | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 0 | 4 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 2 | 3 |
| AFC Challenge Cup | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 | 5 |
| Asian Games | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| ASEAN Championship | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Philippine Peace Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Dragon Cup | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Korea Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Indonesia Tournament | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| King's Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Tri-Nations Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 2025 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 2023 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2022 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 2021 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2019 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 3 |
| 2018 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2017 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2015 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2014 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 13 |
| 2013 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2012 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 5 |
| 2011 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 3 |
| 2010 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 2007 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2004 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2001 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2000 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1998 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1996 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1995 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1989 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 9 |
| 1971 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1956 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1919 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1917 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1915 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 103 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Philippines drew 21 where the draw model expected 20.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 22.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 7 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.