What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 07 Jun 2016 → 10 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 23 Jan 2005 → 11 Nov 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 06 Jun 2009 → 13 Nov 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 10 Feb 1999 → 24 Jun 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 28 Aug 1980 → 21 Jun 1981 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 14 Oct 2025 → 19 Jun 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 11 Nov 2011 → 09 Jun 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 02 Jul 2003 → 18 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 22 Jun 1997 → 08 Feb 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 25 May 1989 → 14 Jul 1989 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 278 | 78 | 28.1% | 8 | 10 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 190 | 44 | 23.2% | 1 | 10 |
| Copa América | 180 | 44 | 24.4% | 3 | 8 |
| FIFA World Cup | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 1 | 3 |
| Copa Chevallier Boutell | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 1 | 2 |
| Copa Paz del Chaco | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 0 | 2 |
| Copa Oswaldo Cruz | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Copa Artigas | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 2 | 2 |
| Kirin Cup | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 0 | 2 |
| Copa Félix Bogado | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Atlantic Cup | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Brazil Independence Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Copa América qualification | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Lunar New Year Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Miami Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Kirin Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2023 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2021 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2018 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2017 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2016 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 2014 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2013 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 2012 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 5 |
| 2011 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2009 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 9 |
| 2008 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 4 |
| 2007 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2006 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 11 |
| 2004 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2002 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 5 |
| 2001 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2000 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1999 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 1998 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 1997 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1996 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 1995 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1993 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 1991 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1989 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 8 |
| 1988 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 1985 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1983 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 4 |
| 1981 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1980 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 3 |
| 1977 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 1976 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1972 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1971 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1970 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1969 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1968 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1966 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1962 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1960 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 7 |
| 1958 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1957 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1956 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1955 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1954 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1953 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1950 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1949 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1947 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1946 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1945 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1943 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1942 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1940 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1937 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1931 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1928 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1925 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1924 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1922 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1921 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1919 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 120 matches (Jun 2015 – Oct 2026), Paraguay drew 36 where the draw model expected 26.1 from those particular fixtures — about 10 more, or 2.2 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 27.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.