What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 22 Jun 2011 → 11 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 13 Oct 2023 → 14 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 16 Feb 2000 → 16 Jul 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 03 Jun 2019 → 15 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 12 Jul 2017 → 09 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 29 Mar 2016 → 11 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 07 Sep 2010 → 18 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 08 Feb 2025 → 24 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 23 Mar 2023 → 30 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 30 Jul 1996 → 22 Sep 1996 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 225 | 61 | 27.1% | 0 | 23 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 106 | 26 | 24.5% | 2 | 8 |
| Gold Cup | 55 | 19 | 34.6% | 0 | 4 |
| UNCAF Cup | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 1 | 4 |
| CCCF Championship | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 2 | 7 |
| CONCACAF Championship qualification | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 1 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 2 | 6 |
| Central American and Caribbean Games | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 2 | 3 |
| Copa América | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Pan American Championship | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Championship | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Copa América qualification | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Kirin Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 3 |
| 2025 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2024 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 13 |
| 2023 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 7 |
| 2022 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2021 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2019 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 2018 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 6 |
| 2017 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 9 |
| 2016 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2015 | 14 | 7 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2013 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2012 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 10 |
| 2011 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 8 |
| 2010 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 2009 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 2008 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2007 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 2006 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2005 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 2003 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 2001 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2000 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 11 |
| 1999 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 1995 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1985 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1984 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1975 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 2 |
| 1957 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1956 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1953 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1952 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1951 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1946 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 1941 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1939 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
Over 168 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Panama drew 42 where the draw model expected 35.9 from those particular fixtures — about 6 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 36.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.