PAK ยท National Team

Pakistan โ˜†

Statistics
Team strength ยท Elo all ratings โ€บ
Rating 1,441 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,576 reached 2 May 1954
Rank #242 of 336 national teams
Matches rated 252 last 10 Jun 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page โ€บ
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%
Friendly 71 16 22.5%
FIFA World Cup qualification 40 5 12.5%
SAFF Cup 36 6 16.7%
AFC Asian Cup qualification 35 5 14.3%
South Asian Games 17 5 29.4%
Asian Games 14 1 7.1%
AFC Challenge Cup qualification 10 2 20.0%
Merdeka Tournament 8 2 25.0%
Jordan International Tournament 4 0 0.0%
AFC Challenge Cup 3 1 33.3%
King's Cup 3 0 0.0%
Palestine International Championship 3 0 0.0%
Mauritius Four Nations Cup 3 0 0.0%
Diamond Jubilee International Football Tournament 3 0 0.0%
Philippine Peace Cup 2 0 0.0%
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 6 1 16.7% 4
2025 5 2 40.0% 2
2024 4 0 0.0% 4
2023 11 1 9.1% 7
2022 1 0 0.0% 1
2019 2 0 0.0% 2
2018 6 0 0.0% 6
2015 3 1 33.3% 2
2014 6 0 0.0% 6
2013 13 2 15.4% 4
2012 1 0 0.0% 1
2011 7 4 57.1% 3
2009 7 3 42.9% 1
2008 8 0 0.0% 8
2007 2 1 50.0% 1
2006 10 1 10.0% 5
2005 9 3 33.3% 2
2003 9 0 0.0% 7
2002 4 2 50.0% 2
2001 6 1 16.7% 3
2000 4 0 0.0% 4
1999 5 0 0.0% 3
1997 8 0 0.0% 8
1996 2 0 0.0% 2
1995 2 0 0.0% 2
1993 12 1 8.3% 10
1992 5 0 0.0% 5
1991 3 1 33.3% 2
1990 3 0 0.0% 3
1989 7 1 14.3% 4
1988 4 0 0.0% 4
1987 3 1 33.3% 2
1986 10 0 0.0% 6
1985 7 2 28.6% 3
1984 4 0 0.0% 4
1982 5 1 20.0% 3
1981 3 0 0.0% 3
1976 3 1 33.3% 1
1974 5 1 20.0% 3
1973 1 0 0.0% 1
1970 2 0 0.0% 2
1969 4 0 0.0% 2
1967 3 1 33.3% 2
1965 2 0 0.0% 2
1963 4 2 50.0% 1
1962 4 2 50.0% 1
1960 7 1 14.3% 4
1959 3 1 33.3% 2
1958 4 2 50.0% 1
1956 1 1 100.0% 0
1955 1 0 0.0% 1
1954 5 2 40.0% 2
1953 1 1 100.0% 0
1952 3 1 33.3% 1

Over 260 matches (Mar 1952 โ€“ Oct 2026), Pakistan drew 43 where the draw model expected 49.7 from those particular fixtures โ€” about 7 fewer, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 52.1 instead โ€” "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 8 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.