What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 14 Aug 2014 → 11 Dec 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 24 Aug 2016 → 07 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 10 Jun 2023 → 17 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 10 Jun 2022 → 24 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 28 May 2011 → 01 Jun 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 09 Sep 2025 → 27 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 24 Mar 2019 → 24 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 08 Jul 2017 → 22 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 17 Nov 2002 → 21 Feb 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 08 Mar 1953 → 19 Mar 1953 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 70 | 15 | 21.4% | 1 | 6 |
| UNCAF Cup | 39 | 4 | 10.3% | 3 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 35 | 2 | 5.7% | 5 | 6 |
| CCCF Championship | 26 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 6 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 2 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Championship | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 3 | 4 |
| Gold Cup | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| CONCACAF Championship qualification | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2025 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2024 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2023 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2022 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2021 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2020 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2019 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2012 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2003 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2000 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1951 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1946 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1943 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1941 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 102 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Nicaragua drew 17 where the draw model expected 20.6 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 21.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.