Newell's Old Boys
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 407 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Newell's Old Boys drew 115 where the draw model expected 127.5 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 123.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 22 Mar 2024 → 19 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 14 Aug 2022 → 01 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 02 Mar 2013 → 11 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 09 Dec 2024 → 04 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 29 Nov 2020 → 22 Feb 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 06 Nov 2023 → 13 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 16 Apr 2018 → 10 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 22 Apr 2017 → 11 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 27 May 2013 → 13 Aug 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 22 Sep 2018 → 04 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 412 | 129 | 31.3% | 1 | 10 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 66 | 14 | 21.2% | 3 | 10 |
| Copa Argentina | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2024 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 11 |
| 2023 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2022 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2019 | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2018 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2017 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% | 8 |
| 2016 | 32 | 11 | 34.4% | 7 |
| 2015 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 2014 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 5 |
| 2013 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 2012 | 19 | 9 | 47.4% | 2 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 20:00 |
Newell's Old Boys
|
vs |
|
2.80 2.93 2.63 | 33.5% |
|
| Mon, 12 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 12 Oct 21:30 |
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Newell's Old Boys
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 31.6% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
San Lorenzo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Newell's Old Boys
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Instituto de Córdoba
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.