What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 25 Mar 2008 → 15 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 16 Oct 2021 → 22 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 29 Apr 1986 → 11 Dec 1986 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 26 Sep 1999 → 18 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 18 Sep 1984 → 02 Mar 1985 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 05 Sep 2013 → 12 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 25 Mar 1997 → 08 Sep 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 17 Oct 2023 → 06 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 04 Sep 2018 → 06 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 25 Sep 2003 → 24 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 64 | 15 | 23.4% | 0 | 6 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 0 | 6 |
| SAFF Cup | 42 | 5 | 11.9% | 3 | 4 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 40 | 3 | 7.5% | 5 | 6 |
| South Asian Games | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Asian Games | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 4 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 0 | 2 |
| AFC Challenge Cup | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| AFC Solidarity Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Nehru Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Tri Nation Tournament | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| King's Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2024 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2023 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2022 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2018 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2017 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2016 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2009 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 12 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2001 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1996 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1995 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1991 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 10 |
| 1985 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1984 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 275 matches (Oct 1972 – Nov 2025), Nepal drew 47 where the draw model expected 51.6 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 58.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 7 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.