What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 23 Mar 2019 → 17 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 06 Jul 2007 → 24 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 23 Jul 2006 → 02 Jun 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 05 Sep 2025 → 25 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 15 Mar 2003 → 12 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 13 Nov 2020 → 11 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 26 Mar 2008 → 20 Jul 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 02 Jul 2000 → 07 Jan 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 12 Nov 2015 → 04 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 06 Jul 2013 → 08 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 76 | 19 | 25.0% | 0 | 5 |
| Friendly | 66 | 23 | 34.8% | 1 | 11 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 61 | 14 | 23.0% | 4 | 6 |
| COSAFA Cup | 55 | 18 | 32.7% | 0 | 4 |
| African Cup of Nations | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 1 | 3 |
| COSAFA Cup qualification | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 1 | 1 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2024 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 4 |
| 2023 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 2022 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2020 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2019 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 12 |
| 2018 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2017 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 2015 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2014 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2012 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 2 |
| 2011 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2008 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2007 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 7 |
| 2006 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 2000 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1999 | 13 | 7 | 53.8% | 2 |
| 1998 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 1997 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 1996 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1994 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 100 matches (May 2015 – Oct 2026), Namibia drew 26 where the draw model expected 26.1 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 25.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.