What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 15 May 1975 → 13 Dec 1975 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 14 Nov 2016 → 05 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 31 Jul 2008 → 23 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 06 Jun 2026 → 27 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 16 May 1974 → 12 Sep 1974 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 30 Jul 1973 → 08 Sep 1973 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 15 Nov 2008 → 30 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 26 Oct 1995 → 16 Dec 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 25 Mar 2019 → 19 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 22 Mar 2018 → 16 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merdeka Tournament | 100 | 19 | 19.0% | 2 | 7 |
| Friendly | 98 | 20 | 20.4% | 2 | 4 |
| AFF Championship | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 1 | 5 |
| Southeast Asian Games | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 1 | 6 |
| Asian Games | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 2 | 5 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 33 | 3 | 9.1% | 4 | 6 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 3 | 6 |
| Southeast Asian Peninsular Games | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 0 | 4 |
| Korea Cup | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 2 | 4 |
| Indonesia Tournament | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 0 | 5 |
| King's Cup | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 1 | 6 |
| AFC Challenge Cup | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 5 |
| AFF Championship qualification | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 3 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| ASEAN Championship | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Philippine Peace Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Tri Nation Tournament | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Tri-Nations Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2025 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 2 |
| 2022 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2018 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2016 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2014 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 6 |
| 2013 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2011 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2010 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 11 |
| 2007 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 7 |
| 1999 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1995 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1994 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1991 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1976 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 2 |
| 1975 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 14 |
| 1974 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 10 |
| 1973 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 1972 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 6 |
| 1970 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 1969 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1968 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 1967 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 7 |
| 1966 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1965 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1959 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1954 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 108 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Myanmar drew 18 where the draw model expected 19.7 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 23.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 6 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.