What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 14 Oct 2024 → 14 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 06 Jun 2009 → 06 Jan 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 19 Jan 1998 → 06 Jul 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 08 Sep 2007 → 08 Jun 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 22 Apr 1994 → 23 Apr 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 28 May 2015 → 24 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 27 Mar 2011 → 15 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 20 Apr 1980 → 12 Nov 1980 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 13 Oct 2020 → 02 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 25 Mar 2017 → 30 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 129 | 34 | 26.4% | 1 | 7 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 112 | 32 | 28.6% | 3 | 7 |
| COSAFA Cup | 59 | 16 | 27.1% | 2 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 52 | 9 | 17.3% | 4 | 5 |
| African Cup of Nations | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 4 | 4 |
| COSAFA Cup qualification | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 8 |
| 2024 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 2023 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 2021 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 2018 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 2017 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2016 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2015 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2014 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% | 3 |
| 2013 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 2012 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2010 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 10 |
| 2008 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 6 |
| 2007 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2003 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2002 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 2001 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1998 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 1997 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1996 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1995 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1994 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1992 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1991 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1990 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1989 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1988 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1981 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1980 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 109 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Mozambique drew 26 where the draw model expected 27.9 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 27.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.