What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 22 Mar 2024 → 11 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 06 Jun 2019 → 15 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 12 Oct 2018 → 16 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 02 Jul 2016 → 09 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 11 Mar 2009 → 14 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 08 Feb 2001 → 17 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 09 Feb 2011 → 03 Jul 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 19 Jun 2007 → 28 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 22 Feb 2003 → 25 Apr 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 29 Feb 2000 → 09 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 26 | 1 | 3.9% | 2 | 7 |
| EAFF Championship | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 3 | 3 |
| Friendly | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 2 | 3 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 3 |
| East Asian Games | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 2 | 2 |
| AFC Solidarity Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Asian Games | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| EAFF Championship qualification | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2023 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2022 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2018 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2011 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2007 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2001 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2000 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1942 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 106 matches (Aug 1942 – Jun 2026), Mongolia drew 9 where the draw model expected 19.8 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 2.7 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 8 times running. A flat league average would have expected 22.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 3 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.