Mjällby AIF
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 250 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Mjällby AIF drew 64 where the draw model expected 60.9 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 59.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 09 Jul 2023 → 07 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 11 May 2024 → 11 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 09 Mar 2013 → 12 May 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 12 Apr 2025 → 22 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 20 Apr 2014 → 05 Jul 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 26 Sep 2013 → 15 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 28 Sep 2025 → 24 Jan 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 16 Oct 2022 → 04 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 01 Nov 2020 → 07 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 07 Sep 2014 → 27 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 292 | 76 | 26.0% | 1 | 13 |
| Swedish Cup | 75 | 12 | 16.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2025 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2024 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 11 |
| 2023 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 14 |
| 2022 | 34 | 13 | 38.2% | 5 |
| 2021 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2020 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 9 |
| 2013 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 2012 | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2010 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 16:45 |
Mjällby AIF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 12.4% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 16:45 |
Iberia 1999
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
Mjällby AIF
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.2% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.