What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 29 Jun 2005 → 11 Jun 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 16 Jun 2013 → 13 Jun 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 02 Jun 2018 → 23 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 04 Sep 2011 → 16 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 26 Nov 1971 → 06 Feb 1973 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 07 Feb 2007 → 01 Jul 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 27 Sep 1977 → 10 Sep 1978 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 01 Jun 2011 → 12 Jul 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 07 Jun 2000 → 25 Oct 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 05 Jan 1967 → 08 Dec 1967 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 489 | 124 | 25.4% | 2 | 15 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 160 | 32 | 20.0% | 2 | 10 |
| Gold Cup | 91 | 13 | 14.3% | 3 | 6 |
| FIFA World Cup | 65 | 15 | 23.1% | 5 | 5 |
| Copa América | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 0 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Championship | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 0 | 5 |
| Confederations Cup | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 4 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 4 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Championship qualification | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 1 | 4 |
| USA Cup | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Pan American Championship | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 3 | 5 |
| Central American and Caribbean Games | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 1 | 5 |
| Korea Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| NAFC Championship | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Lunar New Year Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| NAFU Championship | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Kirin Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Olympic Games | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Marlboro Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2025 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 2024 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 7 |
| 2023 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2022 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | 9 |
| 2018 | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 12 |
| 2017 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 6 |
| 2016 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2015 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 3 |
| 2014 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 5 |
| 2013 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 15 |
| 2012 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 12 |
| 2011 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 12 |
| 2010 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2009 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 8 |
| 2008 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 11 |
| 2007 | 23 | 2 | 8.7% | 14 |
| 2006 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 9 |
| 2005 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 13 |
| 2004 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 11 |
| 2003 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2001 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 8 |
| 2000 | 21 | 3 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 1999 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 5 |
| 1998 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1997 | 24 | 9 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1996 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 9 |
| 1995 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 3 |
| 1994 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1993 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 9 |
| 1992 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 1991 | 15 | 7 | 46.7% | 3 |
| 1990 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1985 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1983 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1981 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1980 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1979 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1978 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1977 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1976 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1973 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 1971 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 7 |
| 1970 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1969 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1968 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 4 |
| 1967 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 12 |
| 1966 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1965 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1962 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1961 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 1960 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1959 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1957 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1956 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1950 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1949 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1937 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1935 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1934 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1930 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
Over 203 matches (Apr 2015 – Oct 2026), Mexico drew 48 where the draw model expected 44.1 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 45.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.