What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 08 Sep 2018 → 24 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 30 Mar 2021 → 07 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 07 Jan 2017 → 10 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 02 Jul 1980 → 11 Feb 1981 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 06 Jun 2024 → 15 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 12 Jan 2022 → 04 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 12 Apr 2014 → 03 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 18 May 1990 → 07 Feb 1991 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 11 Nov 1984 → 08 Mar 1985 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 16 Jan 2024 → 22 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 90 | 30 | 33.3% | 1 | 6 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 72 | 18 | 25.0% | 1 | 6 |
| Amílcar Cabral Cup | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 3 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 1 | 4 |
| African Cup of Nations | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Arab Cup qualification | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 1 | 2 |
| African Friendship Games | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Arab Cup | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Palestine International Championship | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 2024 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2021 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 2020 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2019 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2018 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 2016 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2015 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2014 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2013 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2012 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2008 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 3 |
| 1997 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 1994 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1987 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1986 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1983 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1982 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1979 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 108 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Mauritania drew 27 where the draw model expected 26.2 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 26.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.