Mali
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Over 109 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Mali drew 37 where the draw model expected 26.4 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 2.4 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 27.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 26 Mar 1994 → 30 Oct 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 25 May 2014 → 14 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 02 Jan 1995 → 16 Jul 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 03 Jan 1993 → 29 Nov 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 09 Oct 2015 → 08 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 11 Aug 2010 → 03 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 23 Feb 1997 → 19 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 08 Feb 2012 → 24 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 29 Jan 2008 → 11 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 09 Jun 2007 → 21 Jan 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 230 | 56 | 24.3% | 0 | 9 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 130 | 30 | 23.1% | 2 | 6 |
| Amílcar Cabral Cup | 74 | 22 | 29.7% | 2 | 4 |
| African Cup of Nations | 64 | 25 | 39.1% | 1 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 58 | 16 | 27.6% | 4 | 6 |
| All-African Games | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 0 | 4 |
| Tournament Burkina Faso | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| African Friendship Games | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2025 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 6 |
| 2024 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2023 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2022 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2018 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 |
| 2016 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2015 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 3 |
| 2014 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2012 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 2011 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2010 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2007 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2006 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2004 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 2003 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 2002 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2001 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2000 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1999 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1998 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1997 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 1996 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1995 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 10 |
| 1994 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 11 |
| 1993 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 10 |
| 1992 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1991 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1990 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1989 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 3 |
| 1988 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 1987 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1986 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 1984 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1983 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 5 |
| 1982 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 2 |
| 1981 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1980 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1979 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1978 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1974 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1973 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1970 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | R | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
☆
· ITL · Friendly
☆
· —
☆
· —
☆
· ITL · Friendly
☆
· ITL · Friendly
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations
☆
· ITL · Friendly
☆
· ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆
· ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆
· ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆
· ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆
· ITL · Friendly
☆
· ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆
· ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆
· ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆
· ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆
· ITL · Friendly
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations
☆
· ITL · Friendly
☆
· ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆
· ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆
· ITL · Friendly
☆
· ITL · Friendly
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
☆
· ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification
|
|||||
| ☆ 04 Oct 2026 | Morocco | 1–1 | Mali | D | ITL · Friendly |
| ☆ 29 Sep 2026 | Liberia | 0–1 | Mali | A | — |
| ☆ 25 Sep 2026 | Mali | 3–1 | Cape Verde | H | — |
| ☆ 04 Jun 2026 | Iran | 2–0 | Mali | H | ITL · Friendly |
| ☆ 31 Mar 2026 | Russia | 0–0 | Mali | D | ITL · Friendly |
| ☆ 09 Jan 2026 | Mali | 0–1 | Senegal | A | ITL · African Cup of Nations |
| ☆ 03 Jan 2026 | Mali | 3–2(ft:1–1) | Tunisia | D | ITL · African Cup of Nations |
| ☆ 29 Dec 2025 | Comoros | 0–0 | Mali | D | ITL · African Cup of Nations |
| ☆ 26 Dec 2025 | Morocco | 1–1 | Mali | D | ITL · African Cup of Nations |
| ☆ 22 Dec 2025 | Mali | 1–1 | Zambia | D | ITL · African Cup of Nations |
| ☆ 18 Nov 2025 | Mali | 3–2 | Jordan | H | ITL · Friendly |
| ☆ 12 Oct 2025 | Mali | 4–1 | Madagascar | H |
|
| ☆ 08 Oct 2025 | Chad | 0–2 | Mali | A |
|
| ☆ 08 Sep 2025 | Ghana | 1–0 | Mali | H |
|
| ☆ 04 Sep 2025 | Mali | 3–0 | Comoros | H |
|
| ☆ 05 Jun 2025 | DR Congo | 1–0 | Mali | H | ITL · Friendly |
| ☆ 24 Mar 2025 | Central African Republic | 0–0 | Mali | D |
|
| ☆ 20 Mar 2025 | Comoros | 0–3 | Mali | A |
|
| ☆ 19 Nov 2024 | Mali | 6–0 | Eswatini | H | ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification |
| ☆ 15 Nov 2024 | Mozambique | 0–1 | Mali | A | ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification |
| ☆ 15 Oct 2024 | Guinea-Bissau | 0–0 | Mali | D | ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification |
| ☆ 11 Oct 2024 | Mali | 1–0 | Guinea-Bissau | H | ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification |
| ☆ 10 Sep 2024 | Eswatini | 0–1 | Mali | A | ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification |
| ☆ 06 Sep 2024 | Mali | 1–1 | Mozambique | D | ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification |
| ☆ 11 Jun 2024 | Madagascar | 0–0 | Mali | D |
|
| ☆ 06 Jun 2024 | Mali | 1–2 | Ghana | A |
|
| ☆ 22 Mar 2024 | Mauritania | 0–2 | Mali | A | ITL · Friendly |
| ☆ 03 Feb 2024 | Ivory Coast | 2–1 | Mali | H | ITL · African Cup of Nations |
| ☆ 30 Jan 2024 | Mali | 2–1 | Burkina Faso | H | ITL · African Cup of Nations |
| ☆ 24 Jan 2024 | Namibia | 0–0 | Mali | D | ITL · African Cup of Nations |
| ☆ 20 Jan 2024 | Tunisia | 1–1 | Mali | D | ITL · African Cup of Nations |
| ☆ 16 Jan 2024 | Mali | 2–0 | South Africa | H | ITL · African Cup of Nations |
| ☆ 06 Jan 2024 | Mali | 6–2 | Guinea-Bissau | H | ITL · Friendly |
| ☆ 20 Nov 2023 | Mali | 1–1 | Central African Republic | D |
|
| ☆ 17 Nov 2023 | Mali | 3–1 | Chad | H |
|
| ☆ 17 Oct 2023 | Mali | 3–1 | Saudi Arabia | H | ITL · Friendly |
| ☆ 13 Oct 2023 | Mali | 1–0 | Uganda | H | ITL · Friendly |
| ☆ 08 Sep 2023 | Mali | 4–0 | South Sudan | H | ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification |
| ☆ 18 Jun 2023 | Congo | 0–2 | Mali | A | ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification |
| ☆ 28 Mar 2023 | Gambia | 1–0 | Mali | H | ITL · African Cup of Nations qualification |