What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 26 Mar 2015 → 06 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 24 Mar 2022 → 28 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 24 Sep 1999 → 13 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 18 Jul 2019 → 19 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 28 Mar 2017 → 27 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 31 May 2004 → 17 Nov 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 13 Nov 2024 → 06 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 09 Apr 2008 → 14 Jun 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 06 Dec 2011 → 12 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 02 Jun 1997 → 13 Jun 1997 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 3 | 5 |
| SAFF Cup | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 3 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 42 | 4 | 9.5% | 1 | 8 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 34 | 2 | 5.9% | 5 | 6 |
| South Asian Games | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 4 | 4 |
| Indian Ocean Island Games | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 3 | 3 |
| AFC Challenge Cup | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 3 |
| Nehru Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Mahinda Rajapaksa Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Asian Games | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Diamond Jubilee International Football Tournament | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| South Asian Super Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2025 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 2024 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2022 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2021 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2019 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2017 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2015 | 15 | 0 | 0.0% | 15 |
| 2014 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2008 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2003 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2001 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2000 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 1999 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1998 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1997 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1996 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1995 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1991 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 236 matches (Aug 1979 – Oct 2026), Maldives drew 38 where the draw model expected 46.2 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 49.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.