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· JPN · J1 League
Team ☆
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JPN · Club
FC Machida Zelvia
FC Machida Zelvia
Played
112
Draw %
21.4%
No-draw N
2
Max streak
12
31 May 2025 → 20 Aug 2025
Avg top run
5.9
top 10
Draw debt E
0.47
p50
24.0%
p100
23.0%
Draw score
0.190
rank #812
Draws
24
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,697
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,739
reached 27 Aug 2025
Rank
#297
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
112
last 10 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 15 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 105 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), FC Machida Zelvia drew 23 where the draw model expected 27.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 25.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 12
31 May 2025 → 20 Aug 2025
2 11
02 Mar 2024 → 06 May 2024
3 10
03 Nov 2024 → 15 Mar 2025
4 6
13 Apr 2025 → 07 May 2025
5 4
30 Jun 2024 → 20 Jul 2024
6 4
15 May 2024 → 01 Jun 2024
7 4
30 Aug 2015 → 11 Nov 2015
8 3
22 Nov 2025 → 06 Dec 2025
9 3
07 Jun 2023 → 02 Aug 2023
10 2
20 Sep 2026 → 10 Oct 2026
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 31 May 2025 → 20 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 02 Mar 2024 → 06 May 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 03 Nov 2024 → 15 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 13 Apr 2025 → 07 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 4 | 30 Jun 2024 → 20 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 15 May 2024 → 01 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 30 Aug 2015 → 11 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 22 Nov 2025 → 06 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 07 Jun 2023 → 02 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 2 | 20 Sep 2026 → 10 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J1 League | 84 | 20 | 23.8% | 2 | 11 |
| Emperor's Cup | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 1 | 4 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 12 |
| 2024 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 11 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
112 matches · page 1 / 3
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