What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 15 Nov 2016 → 27 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 09 Oct 2010 → 04 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 01 May 1993 → 18 May 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 17 Feb 1985 → 01 Jun 1985 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 22 Feb 2003 → 23 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 12 Apr 2001 → 25 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 26 Mar 2023 → 12 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 20 Jul 2012 → 29 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 07 Apr 2009 → 30 Apr 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 25 Mar 1997 → 28 Jun 1997 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 39 | 3 | 7.7% | 0 | 6 |
| Friendly | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 1 | 4 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 21 | 1 | 4.8% | 2 | 6 |
| EAFF Championship | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 0 | 4 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 5 |
| Dragon Cup | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| AFC Solidarity Cup | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 | 2 |
| East Asian Games | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 3 |
| AFC Challenge Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Philippine Peace Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| EAFF Championship qualification | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2019 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2017 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2014 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 2008 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2001 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1996 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 148 matches (Jan 1949 – Mar 2026), Macau drew 16 where the draw model expected 28.1 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 2.6 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 31.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.