What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 19 Nov 1999 → 19 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 11 Nov 2020 → 12 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 10 Jun 2012 → 20 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 27 Jul 1977 → 20 Sep 1978 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 08 Sep 1976 → 17 Jul 1977 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 30 Apr 2003 → 19 Jan 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 12 Jun 2015 → 28 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 02 Jan 2024 → 11 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 29 Jan 2022 → 06 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 13 May 2017 → 07 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 178 | 38 | 21.3% | 1 | 8 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 79 | 14 | 17.7% | 0 | 8 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 73 | 18 | 24.7% | 0 | 6 |
| Arab Cup | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 3 | 3 |
| African Cup of Nations | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Palestine Cup | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 | 1 |
| CECAFA Cup | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Kuneitra Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| All-African Games | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Arab Cup qualification | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Morocco, Capital of African Football | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2023 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2022 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 2021 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 6 |
| 2016 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 2015 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2013 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 3 |
| 2012 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2007 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2006 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 5 |
| 2003 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2000 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1999 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1998 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1997 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1983 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1982 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1980 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1978 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1977 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1973 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1971 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1970 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 387 matches (Jun 1957 – Sep 2026), Libya drew 92 where the draw model expected 94.7 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 93.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 3 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.