What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 Jun 2021 → 13 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 18 Jun 2000 → 05 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 04 Jun 1995 → 23 Jun 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 25 Aug 1984 → 23 Nov 1984 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 10 Sep 2024 → 24 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 06 Apr 1997 → 17 Aug 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 12 Sep 2023 → 20 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 11 Sep 2018 → 26 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 26 Mar 2005 → 01 Oct 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 30 Mar 2003 → 16 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 100 | 24 | 24.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Friendly | 96 | 25 | 26.0% | 2 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 77 | 15 | 19.5% | 0 | 6 |
| West African Cup | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 1 | 4 |
| African Friendship Games | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 3 |
| African Cup of Nations | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Morocco, Capital of African Football | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2025 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 2024 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 2023 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2022 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2021 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2019 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2018 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2012 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 7 |
| 2000 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1999 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1996 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1995 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1988 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1987 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1980 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1979 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
Over 304 matches (Dec 1961 – Sep 2026), Liberia drew 70 where the draw model expected 74.3 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 73.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.