What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 23 Mar 2023 → 12 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 26 Mar 2016 → 16 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 26 Aug 2006 → 25 Mar 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 20 Feb 2000 → 01 Jun 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 21 Mar 2024 → 09 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 30 Mar 2021 → 13 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 25 May 2003 → 11 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 18 May 2015 → 06 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 08 Jun 2008 → 20 Jul 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 28 Jul 2007 → 08 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 122 | 42 | 34.4% | 0 | 4 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 78 | 23 | 29.5% | 3 | 4 |
| COSAFA Cup | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 1 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 4 | 6 |
| COSAFA Cup qualification | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2023 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2022 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2021 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 9 | 7 | 77.8% | 1 |
| 2018 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2017 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 2016 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2014 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 2013 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2012 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% | 1 |
| 2008 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2007 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2006 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2003 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2002 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 2001 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 2000 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1999 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1998 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 100 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), Lesotho drew 32 where the draw model expected 25.1 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 25.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.