What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 12 Jun 2012 → 14 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 28 Jan 2008 → 22 Jun 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 02 Jul 2011 → 06 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 12 Oct 2021 → 27 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 06 Nov 2011 → 18 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 25 Apr 2001 → 28 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 21 Oct 1998 → 12 Dec 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 03 Jan 1996 → 09 Jun 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 08 Aug 2019 → 15 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 20 Nov 2018 → 17 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 127 | 45 | 35.4% | 2 | 8 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 80 | 22 | 27.5% | 1 | 6 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 3 | 5 |
| Arab Cup | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 3 | 4 |
| WAFF Championship | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 1 | 3 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Arab Cup qualification | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Asian Games | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| King's Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| SAFF Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Nehru Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| United Arab Emirates Friendship Tournament | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Korea Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Kuneitra Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2023 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2022 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 2021 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2018 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 2017 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2016 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2014 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 18 | 9 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 10 |
| 2011 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 8 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 2008 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 10 |
| 2007 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 4 |
| 2003 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2001 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 16 | 8 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1998 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 1997 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1996 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1966 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 108 matches (May 2015 – Oct 2026), Lebanon drew 29 where the draw model expected 23.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 24.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.