What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 07 Jun 2021 → 11 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 27 Jan 2006 → 23 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 10 Sep 2018 → 21 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 05 Sep 2024 → 25 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 8 | 28 Mar 2023 → 21 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 14 Nov 2017 → 29 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 13 Oct 2015 → 06 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 15 Nov 2000 → 24 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 19 Aug 2007 → 28 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 05 Sep 2019 → 14 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 68 | 16 | 23.5% | 2 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 55 | 9 | 16.4% | 0 | 8 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 0 | 4 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| AFC Challenge Cup | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 5 |
| Nehru Cup | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 4 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 0 | 4 |
| ELF Cup | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 0 | 4 |
| WAFF Championship | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Three Nations Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Navruz Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Tri Nation Tournament | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| CAFA Nations Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Kirin Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2025 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 2023 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2022 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2021 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2019 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2018 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 2017 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2016 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2014 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2013 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2006 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 11 |
| 2004 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2003 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2000 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1996 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 193 matches (Aug 1956 – Oct 2026), Kyrgyzstan drew 33 where the draw model expected 41.6 from those particular fixtures — about 9 fewer, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 42.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.