KuPS Kuopio
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 408 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), KuPS Kuopio drew 103 where the draw model expected 99.0 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 98.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 19 Apr 2023 → 01 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 May 2024 → 04 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 21 Sep 2016 → 17 Apr 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 29 Apr 2012 → 02 Jul 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 11 May 2021 → 25 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 05 Aug 2012 → 13 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 09 Sep 2025 → 05 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 12 Apr 2025 → 25 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 09 Apr 2016 → 13 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 08 Oct 2020 → 24 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veikkausliiga | 445 | 110 | 24.7% | 1 | 14 |
| Finnish Cup | 89 | 15 | 16.9% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 9 |
| 2024 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 14 |
| 2023 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 15 |
| 2022 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 5 |
| 2021 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 11 |
| 2020 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2019 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2018 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2017 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2016 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 2015 | 38 | 12 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2014 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2013 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 7 |
| 2012 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 14 |
| 2011 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2010 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 16:45 |
KuPS Kuopio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
FK Borac Banja Luka
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
KuPS Kuopio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.