Played 247
Draw % 24.3%
No-draw N 14
Max streak 14 14 Jul 2024 → 02 Nov 2024
Avg top run 10.1 top 10
Draw debt E 3.28
p50 24.0%
p100 23.0%
Draw score 0.626 rank #12 Draws 60
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,423 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,527 reached 29 Feb 2020
Rank #14,406 of 14,595 clubs
Matches rated 247 last 28 Sep 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
L L D W L D L L L W W L D W D D L L L W L L L L L L L L W L

Over 247 matches (Jul 2019 – Sep 2026), FC Juárez drew 60 where the draw model expected 65.5 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 66.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
# Run From → To
1 14 11 Apr 2026 → 28 Sep 2026 ▸ matches
2 14 14 Jul 2024 → 02 Nov 2024 ▸ matches
3 12 07 Sep 2022 → 12 Feb 2023 ▸ matches
4 10 23 Sep 2023 → 14 Jan 2024 ▸ matches
5 10 05 Mar 2022 → 30 Apr 2022 ▸ matches
6 9 20 Mar 2021 → 01 Aug 2021 ▸ matches
7 9 20 Jul 2019 → 23 Sep 2019 ▸ matches
8 8 18 Jan 2025 → 26 Feb 2025 ▸ matches
9 8 19 Aug 2021 → 02 Oct 2021 ▸ matches
10 7 27 Jan 2021 → 06 Mar 2021 ▸ matches
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%NMax
Liga MX 247 60 24.3% 14 14
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 27 4 14.8% 14
2025 38 13 34.2% 8
2024 34 6 17.7% 14
2023 34 9 26.5% 9
2022 35 9 25.7% 10
2021 34 7 20.6% 9
2020 27 9 33.3% 4
2019 18 3 16.7% 9
Matches all results ›