What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 18 Mar 1995 → 21 Jul 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 28 Mar 2015 → 02 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 03 May 2009 → 03 Jul 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 05 May 1997 → 04 Jul 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 23 Mar 1991 → 28 Jun 1991 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 09 Jul 2023 → 14 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 26 Jun 2011 → 01 Jul 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 03 May 1999 → 02 Jul 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 16 Jun 2019 → 20 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 25 Mar 2017 → 25 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muratti Vase | 163 | 14 | 8.6% | 3 | 3 |
| Island Games | 61 | 6 | 9.8% | 1 | 5 |
| Friendly | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Inter Games | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2023 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2007 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1996 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1924 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1919 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1912 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1906 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1905 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 235 matches (Apr 1905 – Jul 2025), Jersey drew 20 where the draw model expected 23.4 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 19.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.