What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 25 Mar 2011 → 29 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 11 Jul 2015 → 17 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 25 May 2003 → 18 Feb 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 20 May 1999 → 02 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 03 Mar 1996 → 30 Jun 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 18 Jan 2026 → 02 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 07 Jun 2025 → 14 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 05 Jul 2000 → 15 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 05 May 1991 → 02 Jul 1991 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 07 Sep 2018 → 17 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 309 | 77 | 24.9% | 2 | 9 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 124 | 33 | 26.6% | 2 | 8 |
| Gold Cup | 58 | 10 | 17.2% | 3 | 5 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 1 | 5 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup qualification | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 1 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 2 | 6 |
| CONCACAF Championship qualification | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 1 | 2 |
| Copa América | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| CONCACAF Championship | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 3 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 3 |
| Unity Cup | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 2 | 2 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| King Hassan II Tournament | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| SKN Football Festival | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Phillip Seaga Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Central American and Caribbean Games | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Miami Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2025 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 9 |
| 2024 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2023 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2022 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2021 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2018 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2016 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2015 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 10 |
| 2014 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2013 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 2012 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 6 |
| 2011 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2010 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 7 |
| 2009 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 5 |
| 2008 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 8 |
| 2007 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 2006 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 2004 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 3 |
| 2003 | 19 | 3 | 15.8% | 9 |
| 2002 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2001 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 5 |
| 2000 | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 1999 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 1998 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 8 |
| 1997 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% | 5 |
| 1996 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 10 |
| 1995 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 1994 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1992 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1991 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 1990 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1989 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1988 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1971 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1968 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1962 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1957 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1953 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1952 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1948 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1947 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1938 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 146 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Jamaica drew 33 where the draw model expected 29.7 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 29.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.