What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 23 May 2004 → 10 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 16 Nov 2023 → 05 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 18 Dec 2010 → 13 Jul 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 18 Jan 2013 → 06 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 11 Aug 1996 → 06 Apr 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 30 Mar 1986 → 27 Sep 1986 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 19 Aug 2011 → 29 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 15 Jul 1978 → 12 Dec 1978 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 26 May 1993 → 15 Oct 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 18 Nov 2025 → 29 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 218 | 72 | 33.0% | 1 | 8 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 140 | 37 | 26.4% | 2 | 8 |
| Gulf Cup | 69 | 23 | 33.3% | 3 | 6 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 43 | 8 | 18.6% | 4 | 4 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 4 | 5 |
| WAFF Championship | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 2 | 4 |
| Arab Cup | 28 | 10 | 35.7% | 4 | 4 |
| Asian Games | 24 | 4 | 16.7% | 0 | 6 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 1 | 7 |
| Palestine Cup | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 2 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Nehru Cup | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Jordan International Tournament | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 4 |
| King's Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Prime Minister's Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Confederations Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| United Arab Emirates Friendship Tournament | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Korea Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| International Friendship Championship | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Kirin Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 2024 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 10 |
| 2023 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 6 |
| 2022 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 2 |
| 2021 | 17 | 8 | 47.1% | 4 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 6 |
| 2018 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2016 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2014 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 2013 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2012 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 6 |
| 2011 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 9 |
| 2010 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 2009 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 2008 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2007 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 5 |
| 2005 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 16 |
| 2003 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 2002 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 4 |
| 2000 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1999 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1997 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1996 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1995 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 8 |
| 1992 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1988 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 10 |
| 1985 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1984 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 1981 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 1980 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1979 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 1978 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 1977 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 |
| 1976 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 1975 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1973 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 2 |
| 1972 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1971 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1966 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1965 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1964 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 161 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Iraq drew 48 where the draw model expected 37.0 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 38.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 6 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.