What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 Aug 2003 → 20 Jul 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 20 Apr 1998 → 15 Feb 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 05 Oct 2001 → 03 Sep 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 25 Mar 2005 → 01 Mar 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 08 Oct 2020 → 07 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 09 Nov 2017 → 20 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 28 Apr 1996 → 04 Oct 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 28 Mar 2023 → 16 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 22 May 2013 → 05 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 01 Oct 2010 → 09 Feb 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 219 | 53 | 24.2% | 6 | 11 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 161 | 39 | 24.2% | 2 | 7 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 74 | 20 | 27.0% | 2 | 5 |
| Asian Games | 48 | 6 | 12.5% | 8 | 8 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 47 | 8 | 17.0% | 4 | 6 |
| WAFF Championship | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 1 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 0 | 3 |
| Brazil Independence Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| CAFA Nations Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Beijing International Friendship Tournament | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Lunar New Year Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Nehru Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Al Ain International Cup | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Cup of Ancient Civilizations | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Real Madrid 75th Anniversary Cup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2025 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2024 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2023 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 9 |
| 2022 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 8 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2018 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2016 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2015 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 2014 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 2012 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 4 |
| 2011 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 6 |
| 2010 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 4 |
| 2009 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2008 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 8 |
| 2007 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2006 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 2005 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2004 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2003 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2002 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 6 |
| 2001 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2000 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 5 |
| 1999 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1998 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 15 |
| 1997 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% | 5 |
| 1996 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 1994 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1992 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1989 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1988 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 1982 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1980 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1977 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 3 |
| 1976 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1973 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1972 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1941 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 134 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Iran drew 27 where the draw model expected 26.9 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 31.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.