Iraklis Thessaloniki
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 903 matches (Sep 1931 – Sep 2026), Iraklis Thessaloniki drew 228 where the draw model expected 220.4 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 211.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 17 Jan 2004 → 02 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 09 Feb 2003 → 24 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 11 Apr 2001 → 30 Sep 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 28 Jan 2001 → 04 Apr 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 29 Aug 1999 → 05 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 10 May 1995 → 22 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 22 May 2004 → 21 Nov 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 12 Nov 2000 → 17 Jan 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 13 Aug 2000 → 24 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 10 | 20 Mar 2005 → 11 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League Greece | 595 | 149 | 25.0% | 0 | 14 |
| Greek Football Cup | 288 | 75 | 26.0% | 1 | 22 |
| UEFA Europa League | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 2 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 2025 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2016 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 2015 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2014 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 2013 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 16 | 8 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 32 | 12 | 37.5% | 8 |
| 2009 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 2008 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 4 |
| 2007 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 7 |
| 2006 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2005 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 10 |
| 2004 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 15 |
| 2003 | 38 | 6 | 15.8% | 14 |
| 2002 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2001 | 41 | 6 | 14.6% | 14 |
| 2000 | 48 | 7 | 14.6% | 11 |
| 1999 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 1998 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1997 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 8 |
| 1996 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 1995 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 12 |
| 1994 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 1993 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1990 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1989 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1983 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1982 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1966 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1961 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1950 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1949 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1948 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1947 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1939 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 14:00 |
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
PAOK Thessaloniki
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 16:00 |
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Mon, 02 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Nov 17:30 |
Kalamata
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 15:30 |
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.