What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 27 Jun 1970 → 20 Nov 1970 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 12 Jul 1962 → 27 Nov 1962 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 15 Dec 1970 → 05 Jun 1971 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 12 Aug 1968 → 02 Dec 1968 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 22 Mar 1975 → 11 Aug 1975 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 09 May 1958 → 02 Sep 1958 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 08 Oct 2010 → 29 Dec 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 11 Jun 2008 → 16 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 06 Feb 1993 → 09 Jun 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 02 Jan 2024 → 26 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 178 | 34 | 19.1% | 2 | 7 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 107 | 18 | 16.8% | 1 | 7 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 99 | 21 | 21.2% | 9 | 9 |
| AFF Championship | 75 | 18 | 24.0% | 1 | 7 |
| Southeast Asian Games | 56 | 14 | 25.0% | 0 | 4 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 3 | 5 |
| Indonesia Tournament | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 1 | 4 |
| King's Cup | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 0 | 5 |
| Asian Games | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 2 | 5 |
| Korea Cup | 25 | 2 | 8.0% | 3 | 4 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 4 | 4 |
| Vietnam Independence Cup | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 4 |
| ASEAN Championship | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Far Eastern Championship Games | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Dunhill Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Palestine International Championship | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Merlion Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| FIFA World Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Kirin Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2024 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 9 |
| 2023 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2022 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2021 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 2019 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2017 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2016 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 2 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2013 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 2012 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 2 |
| 2011 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2010 | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | 11 |
| 2009 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 10 |
| 2007 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2006 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2004 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2003 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2002 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 2001 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 8 |
| 1999 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 1998 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 1996 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 1995 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 10 |
| 1992 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 1988 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 1987 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1986 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 1984 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1983 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1982 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1981 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 7 |
| 1980 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1979 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1978 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 8 |
| 1977 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 2 |
| 1976 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 1975 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 12 |
| 1974 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1973 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1972 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 6 |
| 1971 | 27 | 4 | 14.8% | 10 |
| 1970 | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 15 |
| 1969 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1968 | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | 13 |
| 1967 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1966 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1962 | 16 | 0 | 0.0% | 15 |
| 1961 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1960 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1959 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1958 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 12 |
| 1957 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1956 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1954 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 120 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Indonesia drew 24 where the draw model expected 22.3 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 27.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 8 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.