What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 262 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Halmstads BK drew 68 where the draw model expected 62.7 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 61.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 16 Mar 2024 → 15 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 18 Feb 2023 → 27 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 05 Oct 2024 → 23 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 21 Aug 2013 → 25 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 09 Nov 2025 → 12 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 03 May 2025 → 13 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 29 Aug 2014 → 01 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 05 Aug 2017 → 17 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 18 Oct 2015 → 12 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 19 Aug 2005 → 20 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 270 | 72 | 26.7% | 4 | 22 |
| Swedish Cup | 104 | 20 | 19.2% | 3 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 7 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 0 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 8 |
| 2025 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 9 |
| 2024 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 24 |
| 2023 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 13 |
| 2022 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 36 | 15 | 41.7% | 5 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2018 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2016 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2015 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2014 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2013 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 10 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 7 |
| 2004 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2003 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1944 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1943 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1942 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 11:00 |
Halmstads BK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.