What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 29 May 2018 → 07 Sep 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 06 Jun 2024 → 15 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 25 Mar 2021 → 04 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 18 Nov 2002 → 27 Dec 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 29 Mar 2016 → 08 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 07 Jan 2007 → 19 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 03 Nov 1973 → 23 Mar 1974 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 02 Jun 2026 → 04 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 10 Jul 2015 → 08 Jan 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 09 Dec 2012 → 08 Jun 2013 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 213 | 53 | 24.9% | 2 | 7 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 71 | 13 | 18.3% | 4 | 5 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup qualification | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 4 | 6 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 2 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Championship | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 4 | 5 |
| Gold Cup | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 1 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 6 | 6 |
| CONCACAF Championship qualification | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 2 | 4 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 2 | 5 |
| CCCF Championship | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Copa América | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Phillip Seaga Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| SKN Football Festival | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Kirin Challenge Cup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Copa América qualification | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2025 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2023 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 12 |
| 2019 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2018 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2016 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2015 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2014 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 2013 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 2012 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 2011 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 2010 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2008 | 22 | 8 | 36.4% | 5 |
| 2007 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2006 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2004 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2003 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2002 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2001 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 5 |
| 2000 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 1999 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 8 |
| 1998 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1997 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1996 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1994 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1979 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1978 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1977 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1976 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1974 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 1973 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 9 |
| 1972 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1971 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1970 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1969 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1968 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1967 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1966 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1965 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1957 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1952 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1944 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1939 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1938 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1934 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Over 517 matches (Mar 1925 – Oct 2026), Haiti drew 110 where the draw model expected 114.5 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 117.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.