What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 14 Jun 1992 → 24 Apr 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 04 Sep 2010 → 08 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 19 Nov 2024 → 09 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 20 Nov 2023 → 22 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 24 Mar 2023 → 13 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 15 Jan 2022 → 09 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 02 Jul 2019 → 17 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 18 Nov 1995 → 27 Nov 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 11 Nov 2020 → 30 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 18 Jan 2017 → 10 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amílcar Cabral Cup | 60 | 16 | 26.7% | 0 | 5 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 1 | 9 |
| Friendly | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 0 | 3 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 30 | 11 | 36.7% | 3 | 3 |
| African Cup of Nations | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2024 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2023 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2022 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2021 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2018 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2016 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1993 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1992 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1988 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1987 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 192 matches (Jun 1953 – Sep 2026), Guinea-Bissau drew 44 where the draw model expected 49.9 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 50.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.