What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 16 May 2015 → 03 Jul 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 5 | 26 Jun 2011 → 01 Jul 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 10 Jul 2005 → 15 Jul 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 18 May 2003 → 04 Jul 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 24 Mar 2001 → 12 Jul 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 09 Jul 2023 → 13 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 17 Jun 2019 → 21 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 29 Jun 2009 → 03 Jul 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 22 Mar 1997 → 30 Jun 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 23 Apr 2022 → 21 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muratti Vase | 173 | 14 | 8.1% | 3 | 3 |
| Island Games | 54 | 10 | 18.5% | 4 | 5 |
| Peace Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Inter Games | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Friendly | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2022 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2008 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2007 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1996 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1995 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1924 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1921 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1920 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1919 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1911 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1908 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1905 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 240 matches (Apr 1905 – Jul 2023), Guernsey drew 25 where the draw model expected 23.7 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 18.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.