What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 12 Jun 2012 → 03 Dec 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 06 Jun 2019 → 19 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 24 Feb 2003 → 25 Apr 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 30 May 2021 → 12 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 25 Mar 2007 → 23 Jun 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 25 Mar 2026 → 06 Jun 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 13 Oct 2015 → 24 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 27 Aug 2011 → 03 Sep 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 02 Apr 2008 → 27 Apr 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 11 May 1997 → 19 May 1997 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAFF Championship | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 0 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 22 | 1 | 4.6% | 2 | 7 |
| Friendly | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 1 | 3 |
| South Pacific Games | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 4 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Pacific Games | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 0 | 4 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 3 |
| East Asian Games | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Philippine Peace Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| AFC Challenge Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| South Pacific Mini Games | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Marianas Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| EAFF Championship qualification | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Tri-Nations Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2018 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2014 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2011 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2009 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 123 matches (Aug 1975 – Jun 2026), Guam drew 11 where the draw model expected 19.2 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 23.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.