What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 428 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), IFK Göteborg drew 115 where the draw model expected 103.0 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 102.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 25 Jul 2022 → 23 Apr 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 04 May 2025 → 20 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 14 Aug 2021 → 07 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 17 Sep 1997 → 19 Aug 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 24 May 2018 → 27 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 11 Aug 2013 → 06 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 06 Oct 2012 → 07 Apr 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 16 Sep 1992 → 21 Apr 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 10 Mar 2018 → 13 May 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 28 Feb 2015 → 27 Apr 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 442 | 121 | 27.4% | 4 | 16 |
| Swedish Cup | 151 | 37 | 24.5% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 82 | 13 | 15.9% | 1 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 68 | 18 | 26.5% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 1 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 8 |
| 2025 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 15 |
| 2024 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2023 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2022 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 17 |
| 2021 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 14 |
| 2020 | 37 | 17 | 46.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 7 |
| 2018 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2017 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2016 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 6 |
| 2015 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 9 |
| 2014 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 7 |
| 2013 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 11 |
| 2012 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 5 |
| 2011 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2008 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2001 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1998 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1997 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 1996 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1995 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1994 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1993 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1992 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1991 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 1985 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1984 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1983 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1981 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1958 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1945 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1944 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1941 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 17:00 |
Arka Gdynia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.