Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 426 matches (Feb 2015 – Oct 2026), Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata drew 108 where the draw model expected 133.2 from those particular fixtures — about 25 fewer, or 2.6 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 128.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 27 Jul 2025 → 09 Feb 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 04 Aug 2019 → 24 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 11 Mar 2026 → 14 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 11 Sep 2017 → 29 Jan 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 18 Apr 2017 → 24 Jun 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 09 Nov 2024 → 09 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 20 Oct 2015 → 29 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 11 Nov 2023 → 18 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 22 May 2024 → 10 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 16 Mar 2014 → 26 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga Profesional | 381 | 97 | 25.5% | 0 | 21 |
| Copa De La Liga Profesional | 67 | 17 | 25.4% | 7 | 9 |
| Copa Argentina | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 0 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 12 |
| 2025 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 17 |
| 2024 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 2022 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2021 | 42 | 15 | 35.7% | 5 |
| 2020 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 5 |
| 2019 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 13 |
| 2018 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2017 | 29 | 2 | 6.9% | 12 |
| 2016 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 7 |
| 2015 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 9 |
| 2013 | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 2012 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2011 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct |
Independiente Rivadavia
|
vs |
|
2.02 3.19 3.74 | 29.1% |
|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 21:00 |
Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 18:00 |
Club Atlético Huracán
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 33.5% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 18:00 |
Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 20:00 |
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.4% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 20:00 |
Gimnasia y Esgrima La Plata
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.