What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 11 Jun 1989 → 29 Apr 1990 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 12 Oct 2015 → 06 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 13 Nov 1994 → 30 Nov 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 15 Oct 2024 → 03 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 10 Oct 2025 → 27 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 07 Jun 2008 → 11 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 04 Jul 1993 → 07 Nov 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 17 Nov 2022 → 09 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 19 Nov 2014 → 25 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 05 Sep 2009 → 13 Jan 2010 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 167 | 53 | 31.7% | 2 | 6 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 94 | 25 | 26.6% | 3 | 7 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 74 | 13 | 17.6% | 3 | 6 |
| African Cup of Nations | 28 | 10 | 35.7% | 3 | 3 |
| UDEAC Cup | 27 | 9 | 33.3% | 4 | 4 |
| African Friendship Games | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 0 | 2 |
| UNIFFAC Cup | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Corsica Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 6 |
| 2024 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2022 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2017 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% | 5 |
| 2016 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2015 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 2014 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 2012 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 2011 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2010 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 2009 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2008 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 7 |
| 2007 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2004 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2003 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2002 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1996 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 1995 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 1994 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1993 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 1992 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1991 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1989 | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | 12 |
| 1988 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1986 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1985 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1970 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1962 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 101 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Gabon drew 29 where the draw model expected 24.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 24.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.