What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 442 matches (Mar 2015 – Sep 2026), FC Dallas drew 134 where the draw model expected 114.9 from those particular fixtures — about 19 more, or 2.1 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 111.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 27 Jun 2015 → 04 Oct 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 17 Aug 2014 → 30 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 26 May 2018 → 15 Jul 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 22 Oct 2023 → 31 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 07 Oct 2018 → 23 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 23 Mar 2014 → 11 May 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 01 Jun 2023 → 09 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 14 Apr 2016 → 22 May 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 23 Apr 2026 → 24 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 09 Mar 2019 → 20 Apr 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLS | 513 | 153 | 29.8% | 2 | 14 |
| US Open Cup | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2024 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 2023 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 5 |
| 2021 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2019 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 11 |
| 2017 | 43 | 19 | 44.2% | 3 |
| 2016 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 8 |
| 2015 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 15 |
| 2014 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2013 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2012 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 23:30 |
Charlotte
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 00:30 |
FC Dallas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 00:30 |
Houston Dynamo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 00:30 |
FC Dallas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.0% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 00:30 |
FC Dallas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 19:00 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 00:00 |
FC Dallas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.4% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.