What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 25 May 2018 → 22 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 25 May 2003 → 04 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 20 May 2006 → 04 Oct 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 11 Aug 2010 → 27 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 28 Mar 2023 → 11 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 22 Aug 2011 → 15 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 20 Feb 2000 → 01 Jun 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 07 Jun 2024 → 10 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 16 Oct 2023 → 20 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 10 Jan 2015 → 20 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 117 | 35 | 29.9% | 1 | 7 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 69 | 23 | 33.3% | 1 | 5 |
| COSAFA Cup | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 3 | 3 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 1 | 2 |
| COSAFA Cup qualification | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 2022 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 3 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 2018 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2017 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2016 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2014 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2011 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2010 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2008 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 3 |
| 2007 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2006 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2001 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1999 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1998 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Over 276 matches (May 1968 – Mar 2026), Eswatini drew 83 where the draw model expected 68.9 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 2.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 69.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.