What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 18 Jan 2024 → 05 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 8 | 05 Sep 2015 → 04 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 8 | 23 Mar 2003 → 16 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 28 May 2018 → 25 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 29 Mar 2011 → 07 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 01 Jun 2008 → 11 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 17 Nov 2025 → 25 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 21 Jan 2012 → 02 Jun 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 07 Nov 1999 → 14 Nov 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 11 Nov 2020 → 28 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 52 | 6 | 11.5% | 1 | 5 |
| Friendly | 44 | 16 | 36.4% | 1 | 6 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 0 | 6 |
| African Cup of Nations | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 3 | 4 |
| UDEAC Cup | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 0 | 2 |
| UNIFFAC Cup | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 2023 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2022 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2021 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 2018 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2012 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2011 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2007 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2000 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1981 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 181 matches (May 1975 – Sep 2026), Equatorial Guinea drew 40 where the draw model expected 44.0 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 43.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.