What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14 May 1969 → 10 Jun 1970 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 06 Jun 2009 → 03 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 02 Jun 2018 → 17 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 10 | 16 Feb 2007 → 08 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 09 Jun 2024 → 17 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 01 Jul 2000 → 15 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 08 Oct 1999 → 16 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 21 Jun 2025 → 18 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 25 Jun 2019 → 19 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 29 Mar 2016 → 22 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 239 | 66 | 27.6% | 0 | 7 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 129 | 23 | 17.8% | 6 | 10 |
| UNCAF Cup | 56 | 13 | 23.2% | 3 | 5 |
| Gold Cup | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 2 | 4 |
| CCCF Championship | 36 | 5 | 13.9% | 0 | 6 |
| CONCACAF Championship | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 0 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Championship qualification | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 2 | 2 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Central American and Caribbean Games | 15 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| CONCACAF Series | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Miami Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Kirin Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Marlboro Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2025 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2023 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 3 |
| 2022 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2021 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 7 |
| 2018 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2017 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 2016 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2015 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2014 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2010 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2009 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 11 |
| 2008 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2007 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2006 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 2003 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 3 |
| 2000 | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | 9 |
| 1999 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 1998 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1997 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 1996 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 6 |
| 1995 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 1992 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1991 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 1988 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1987 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1984 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1980 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1979 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1976 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1974 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1971 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1969 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1968 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1963 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 1961 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1953 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1946 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1943 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1941 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1938 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1930 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 134 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), El Salvador drew 33 where the draw model expected 28.5 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 28.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.