What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 09 Sep 1999 → 30 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 05 Jun 2024 → 16 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 05 Sep 2019 → 18 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 28 Mar 2004 → 14 Nov 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 02 Sep 2011 → 15 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 03 Apr 1998 → 26 Jul 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 02 Apr 1997 → 04 May 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 14 Oct 1969 → 14 Nov 1969 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 26 Sep 2010 → 10 Nov 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 03 Sep 2006 → 22 Sep 2006 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFU Caribbean Cup qualification | 59 | 14 | 23.7% | 3 | 5 |
| Windward Islands Tournament | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 0 | 3 |
| Friendly | 44 | 5 | 11.4% | 1 | 8 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 28 | 5 | 17.9% | 2 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 0 | 6 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| CONCACAF Series | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 3 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2025 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2024 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2023 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2017 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2014 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2010 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2000 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1999 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1998 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1997 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1996 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1992 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1990 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1989 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1973 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1969 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1968 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1965 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1964 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1961 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 220 matches (Mar 1932 – Oct 2026), Dominica drew 46 where the draw model expected 46.1 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 48.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.