What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 12 Jun 2015 → 04 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 15 Jun 2021 → 27 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 31 May 2008 → 02 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 7 | 05 Sep 2025 → 29 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 11 Nov 2011 → 02 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 26 Nov 2006 → 20 Dec 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 11 Mar 2017 → 28 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 16 Nov 2007 → 13 Dec 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 27 Nov 2005 → 05 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 30 Nov 2009 → 04 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CECAFA Cup | 35 | 2 | 5.7% | 3 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 31 | 3 | 9.7% | 4 | 6 |
| Friendly | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 0 | 3 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 0 | 4 |
| Arab Cup qualification | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Mauritius Four Nations Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| African Friendship Games | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2024 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2019 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2016 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2011 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2008 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2007 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2006 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 113 matches (Dec 1947 – Mar 2026), Djibouti drew 10 where the draw model expected 20.4 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 2.6 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 7 times running. A flat league average would have expected 25.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.