What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 191 matches (Aug 2015 – Sep 2026), Degerfors IF drew 42 where the draw model expected 42.6 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 44.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 16 Oct 2021 → 29 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 05 Jun 2023 → 01 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 26 Jun 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 19 Feb 2023 → 20 May 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 11 May 2025 → 19 Jul 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 08 Aug 2021 → 27 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 8 | 22 Feb 2025 → 27 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 08 Mar 2026 → 23 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 16 Jun 1993 → 28 Sep 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 12 Apr 2021 → 09 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allsvenskan | 142 | 29 | 20.4% | 12 | 18 |
| Swedish Cup | 96 | 19 | 19.8% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% | 13 |
| 2025 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 9 |
| 2024 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 15 |
| 2022 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 13 |
| 2021 | 35 | 5 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 2020 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2019 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1944 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1943 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1942 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1941 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 12:00 |
IK Brage
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.