What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 24 Mar 2021 → 12 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 12 | 14 Oct 2024 → 15 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 29 Aug 2018 → 11 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 13 Mar 2003 → 19 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 07 Jun 2008 → 23 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 8 | 22 Feb 2012 → 12 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 23 Mar 2023 → 04 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 7 | 05 May 1999 → 13 Jun 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 7 | 23 May 1995 → 30 Jul 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 08 Dec 2015 → 29 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 128 | 37 | 28.9% | 3 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 58 | 13 | 22.4% | 2 | 8 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 2 | 5 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup qualification | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 2 | 5 |
| Gold Cup | 30 | 2 | 6.7% | 3 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 3 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Championship qualification | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 0 | 2 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 2 | 6 |
| CCCF Championship | 14 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 5 |
| Central American and Caribbean Games | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Championship | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 0 | 3 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Series | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| NAFC Championship | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| FIFA World Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 2 |
| Copa América qualification | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 2025 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2024 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2023 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2022 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2021 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2019 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 8 |
| 2018 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2016 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 4 |
| 2014 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 2013 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 8 |
| 2011 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2010 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2008 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2007 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 2006 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2004 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 11 |
| 2002 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2001 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 2000 | 13 | 7 | 53.8% | 2 |
| 1999 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 7 |
| 1998 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1995 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1992 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1987 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1980 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1977 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1975 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1955 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1949 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1948 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1942 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1940 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1935 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1934 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1930 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
Over 401 matches (Mar 1930 – Oct 2026), Cuba drew 90 where the draw model expected 85.8 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 86.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.