Costa Rica
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 151 matches (Mar 2015 – Jun 2026), Costa Rica drew 40 where the draw model expected 32.9 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 33.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 16 Aug 1992 → 29 Jun 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 15 Feb 2003 → 04 Jun 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 16 Jul 2005 → 20 Jun 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 07 Sep 2018 → 24 Jun 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 10 Oct 2017 → 22 Jun 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 07 Jun 2016 → 24 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 21 Jun 2008 → 30 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 24 Feb 1999 → 25 Nov 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 04 Jul 2023 → 26 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 08 Jul 2004 → 13 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 239 | 67 | 28.0% | 3 | 17 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 163 | 35 | 21.5% | 0 | 16 |
| Gold Cup | 71 | 20 | 28.2% | 0 | 5 |
| UNCAF Cup | 57 | 13 | 22.8% | 2 | 5 |
| CCCF Championship | 41 | 3 | 7.3% | 1 | 6 |
| CONCACAF Championship | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 3 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup | 21 | 5 | 23.8% | 3 | 4 |
| Central American and Caribbean Games | 21 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Copa América | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 2 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 0 | 2 |
| CONCACAF Championship qualification | 17 | 10 | 58.8% | 1 | 2 |
| Pan American Championship | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 | 4 |
| Korea Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Miami Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Marlboro Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Kirin Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Copa América qualification | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 7 |
| 2024 | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2023 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 6 |
| 2022 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 7 |
| 2021 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 5 |
| 2020 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2018 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 7 |
| 2017 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 4 |
| 2016 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2015 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 2014 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2013 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2012 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2011 | 22 | 9 | 40.9% | 8 |
| 2010 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2009 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 5 |
| 2008 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2007 | 19 | 9 | 47.4% | 5 |
| 2006 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2005 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 7 |
| 2004 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 2003 | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | 15 |
| 2002 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 2001 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 1999 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 10 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1997 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1996 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 1995 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1994 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1993 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 1992 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 1991 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1990 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1989 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1988 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 1984 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1983 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% | 2 |
| 1976 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 3 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1972 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1971 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1968 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 1967 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 1963 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 1961 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1960 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1956 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1955 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1953 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1951 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1946 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1943 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1941 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1938 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1935 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1930 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1921 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
