What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 29 Mar 2021 → 27 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 11 | 15 Nov 2024 → 17 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 29 May 2019 → 22 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 24 Mar 2023 → 11 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 31 Mar 2026 → 04 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 17 Nov 2015 → 04 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 09 Aug 2011 → 15 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 02 Dec 2025 → 21 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 17 Oct 2023 → 22 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 13 Jun 2015 → 05 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Indian Ocean Island Games | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 2 | 4 |
| Friendly | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 2 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 4 | 4 |
| COSAFA Cup | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 3 | 3 |
| African Cup of Nations | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 0 | 4 |
| Arab Cup qualification | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Arab Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| COSAFA Cup qualification | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2025 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 2024 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 2022 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 12 |
| 2021 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2018 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2016 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2015 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2014 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2011 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2010 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1998 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 109 matches (Jun 2015 – Oct 2026), Comoros drew 27 where the draw model expected 24.8 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 27.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.